Andy Murray is the 2/1 outsider to win tonight’s US Open final and break his grand slam duck. His opponent Novak Djokovic is heavily odds-on with 4/9 representing the market’s most generous offer.

And while those prices can be justified by history and past results, 2/1 for the in-form player – which Murray undoubtedly is – is great value.

Murray comes into tonight’s final on the back of a summer which has yielded his first ever Wimbledon final, the first time he has won a set in a grand slam final, and also the small matter of an Olympic gold medal, followed up by a silver in the doubles.

That London 2012 title was secured via a straight sets demolition of Djokovic in the semi-final and there is no getting away from the fact that the Serb has had a poor season by his lofty standards.

Since winning the Australian Open in January the world number two has won just two ATP titles and failed to even make the final in the defence of his All England Club title.

Djokovic is the defending champion and his hard court form reads impressive, with 27 consecutive grand slam victories on the surface and he is yet to drop a set in this year’s tournament.

But Murray is also a fan of this arena. It was the scene of his first grand slam final in 2008 and he also won the Boy’s Championship as a junior.

The two share a reasonably even head-t0-head record, with Djokovic slightly on top with eight victories from 14 meetings, however it’s tied two apiece for matches in 2012.

Djokovic has beaten Murray in a grand slam final before, the Serb winning the 2011 Australian Open in straight sets, but the world number four is much improved since then thanks to the guidance of new coach Ivan Lendl.

And – if you are searching for a sign that fate is in cahoots with the Scot’s camp – Lendl won his first grand slam on the fifth attempt, tonight will also be Murray’s fifth attempt.

The Scot has had an extra day’s rest and with the match unlikely to be decided in less than four sets fatigue may play a large role in the business end of the final so a 3-2 Murray win at 13/2 also gets the vote.

 

Tipster’s Best Bets

Andy Murray to win @ 2/1 with bet365 (1pt)
Andy Murray 3-2 @ 13/2 with bet365 (1pt)

 

 

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